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28
Mar

Russia almost reached 130 mln Cellular Subscribers

February 2006 cellular market data for Russia and Ukraine (including Russian mobile operators' activities abroad) are available below. Please refer to our monthly report for detailed information on net additions and market shares.

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16
Feb

January 2006 Cellular Subscriber Figures

January 2006 cellular market data for Russia and Ukraine including Russian mobile operators' activities in CIS are available below. Please refer to our monthly report for detailed information on net additions and market shares.
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23
Jan

A Closer Look at 2005 Cellular Subscriber Data

To find out more about key developments of the Russian cellular market in 2005 please refer to our 2005 market round-up. The document provides data on 2005 subscriber base dynamics of largest Russian cellular operators with particular focus on their activities in Russia and Ukraine.
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18
Jan

Cellular Market Data: 2005 Year-End Results

Below you may download the December and year-end 2005 subscriber figures on Russian and Ukrainian cellular markets. Please note that we have slightly downgraded our November 2004 estmates for total number of subscribers in Russia and upgraded Astelit's (Ukraine) figures for November.

Main highlights for both covered markets:

Russia

MTS remains market leader but the margin between MTS and Vimpelcom narrows. Although Russian operators added significant 6.2 mln new subs to the counter in December, there is a visible slowdown in Y-o-Y market growth rate - there were 8.3 mln net additions reported in December 2004. 2005 was the last year of record-high growth rates as the level of saturation closes in in the major part of the country's regions. Other key points:

  • Number of subscribers (valid SIM cards) reached 125.8 mln (up 6.2 mln from November 2005, 51.4 mln from December 2004);
  • Penetration jumped to 86.6% (up 4.3% from November 2005, 35.4% from December 2004);
  • There were 135 and 118 SIM cards in use per 100 population in Moscow and St.Petersburg respectively as of December 31, 2005;
  • MTS won December net additons in the regions and generally in Russia, losing to Vimpelcom in Moscow and St.Petersburg.

Russian Mobile Subscribers

Mobile Subscribers December 31, 2005 November 30, 2005
Total Russia 125,760,000 119,730,000
  Penetration* 86.6% 82.5%
Moscow 22,842,679 22,302,410
  Penetration* 134.5% 131.3%
St.Petersburg 7,508,220 7,273,784
  Penetration* 118.4% 114.7%
Subscribers outside Moscow and St.Pete 95,409,101 90,153,806
  Penetration* 78.3% 74.0%

* Please note that penetration figures are calculated based on official data from 2002 population census (145 mln for Russia, 17 mln for Moscow and 6.3 mln for St.Pete). Reportedly, the population in Moscow License Area reaches as high as 23-25 mln while St.Pete License Area population figure is above 7 mln.

Ukraine

Total number of subscribers in Ukraine almost doubled in 2005. Kyivstar and UMC remain very close rivals with Astelit lagging behind by a margin. Leaders were almost on par in December net additions, though UMC managed to attract a bit larger share of users.

  • Number of subscribers (valid SIM cards) reached 30.4 mln (up 3.6 mln from November 2005, 16.5 mln from December 2004);
  • Penetration increased to 63.8% (up 7.5% from November 2005, 34.6% from December 2004);

Ukrainian Mobile Subscribers

Mobile Subscribers December 31, 2005 November 30, 2005
Total number of subscribers 30,379,116 26,823,941
Penetration 63.8% 56.4%

Our estimates for Astelit show significant market share gain in 2005 (9% as of December). However, considering quite liberal churn policy adopted by the company we maintain strong scepticism about the ability of all those subscribers to generate a reasonable revenue for Astelit.

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09
Dec

Cellular Market Data: Russia and Ukraine

Starting from this issue we initiate the release of cellular indicators for Ukranian market, please see information below and the extra worksheet added to the MS excel file.

Russia

Number of subscribers (valid SIM cards) reached 120 mln, up 4 mln from October 2005, 45 mln from December 2004 and 54 mln from November 2004. Other key points are:

  • Penetration in Russia grew to 83% (up 3% from October 2005, 31% from December 2004, 37% from November 2004);
  • There were 131 and 115 SIM cards in use per 100 population in Moscow and St.Petersburg respectively as of November 30, 2005;
  • In November 2005 Vimpelcom won back the leadership from MTS in net additions in Moscow, St.Petersburg and total Russia.

Russian Mobile Subscribers

Mobile Subscribers November 30, 2005 October 31, 2005
Total Russia 119,730,000 115,760,000
  Penetration* 82.5% 79.7%
Moscow 22,302,410 22,026,696
  Penetration* 131.3% 129.7%
St.Petersburg 7,273,784 7,171,757
  Penetration 114.7% 113.1%
Subscribers outside Moscow and St.Pete 90,153,806 86,561,547
  Penetration 74.0% 71.0%

* Please note that penetration figures are calculated based on official data from 2002 population census (17 mln for Moscow and 6.3 mln for St.Pete). Reportedly, the population in Moscow License Area reaches as high as 23-25 mln while St.Pete License Area population figure is above 7 mln.

Ukraine

Total number of subscribers reached 26,360,539 which translates into cellular penetration of 55.4%. Kyivstar showed good results in November outnumbering its main rival, UMC.

Please note that Astelit has more liberal churn policy (12 months) compared to other operators and still did not churn subcribers since its network launch. You may find more information in the file below.

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09
Nov

October 2005 Cellular Market Data

Number of subscribers (valid SIM cards) reached 115.8 mln as of October 31, 2005, up 4.0 mln compared to the previous month. The growth is 41.4 mln subscribers since December 2004 and 53.5 mln since October 2004.

Penetration in Russia almost reached 80% (up 3% from August 2005, 29% from December 2004, 37% from October 2004). There were 130 and 113 SIM cards in use per 100 of population in Moscow and St.Petersburg respectively as of October 31, 2005. In October 2005 MTS outperformed its rivals in terms of net additions in Moscow and regions, while Vimpelcom did better than competition in St.Petersburg.

Russian Mobile Subscribers

Mobile Subscribers October 31, 2005 September 30, 2005
Total Russia 115,760,000 111,740,000
  Penetration* 79.7% 77.0%
Moscow 22,026,696 21,625,285
  Penetration* 129.7% 127.3%
St.Petersburg 7,171,757 7,077,535
  Penetration 113.1% 111.6%
Subscribers outside Moscow and St.Pete 86,561,547 83,037,180
  Penetration 71.0% 68.1%

* Please note that penetration figures are calculated based on official data from 2002 population census (17 mln for Moscow and 6.3 mln for St.Pete). Reportedly, the population in Moscow License Area reaches as high as 23-25 mln while St.Pete License Area population figure is above 7 mln.

Russian Mobile Subscribers Growth

Below you may download AC&M monthly updates for May-October 2005 in MS Excel format.

May 2005
June 2005
July 2005
August 2005
September 2005
October 2005

Please note that the number of subscribers mentioned in our reports effectively means number of valid SIM cards as reported by mobile operators according to their churn policy.
Penetration figures are calculated based on official 2002 Russian census data.
All files are compressed (ZIP).

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